Table 5

Distribution of Estimated 10-Year Risk of a First Hard ASCVD Event in the CVD-Free, Nonpregnant U.S. Population, 40 to 79 Years of Age, by Sex and Race/Ethnicity

Predicted 10-Year Risk of Hard ASCVD Event
<2.5%2.5%–4.9%5.0%–7.4%7.5%–9.9%10.0%–14.9%15.0%–19.9%≥20.0%
Total
 % (95% CI)33.4 (31.2–35.5)21.0 (19.4–22.7)12.7 (11.4–14.0)7.4 (6.5–8.3)8.9 (8.1–9.6)6.3 (5.6–7.1)10.2 (9.5–11.0)
 n33,534,00021,151,00012,766,0007,470,0008,940,0006,380,00010,300,000
Sex
 Men
 % (95% CI)17.4 (15.2–19.7)22.7 (20.3–25.1)15.6 (13.8–17.4)10.1 (8.5–11.6)12.1 (10.7–13.5)8.8 (7.4–10.2)13.3 (12.1–14.4)
 n8,386,00010,950,0007,511,0004,847,0005,849,0004,248,0006,388,000
 Women
 % (95% CI)48.0 (44.8–51.3)19.5 (17.3–21.6)10.0 (8.3–11.8)5.0 (3.8–6.2)5.9 (5.1–6.7)4.1 (3.4–4.7)7.5 (6.5–8.4)
 n25,148,00010,200,0005,256,0002,622,0003,091,0002,131,0003,912,000
Race/Ethnicity
 White
 Men
  % (95% CI)18.0 (15.0–21.1)22.4 (19.4–25.3)15.7 (13.3–18.1)10.0 (8.2–11.8)11.7 (9.9–13.5)8.7 (7.0–10.4)13.6 (12.3–14.9)
  n6,467,0008,016,0005,616,0003,584,0004,189,0003,112,0004,870,000
 Women
  % (95% CI)47.1 (43.0–51.1)20.4 (17.7–23.0)10.7 (8.6–12.8)5.1 (3.6–6.7)5.5 (4.6–6.5)4.1 (3.4–4.9)7.1 (5.9–8.2)
  n18,175,0007,863,0004,136,0001,984,0002,132,0001,596,0002,725,000
 African American
 Men
  % (95% CI)1.4 (0.3–2.6)23.9 (19.9–28.0)20.6 (17.0–24.2)11.8 (8.8–14.8)17.4 (14.3–20.5)11.1 (8.2–13.9)13.8 (11.0–16.7)
  n60,0001,008,000866,000495,000731,000466,000583,000
 Women
  % (95% CI)36.5 (32.4–40.6)18.7 (15.6–21.8)10.9 (8.6–13.2)6.5 (5.0–7.9)9.4 (7.2–11.7)5.7 (4.2–7.2)12.3 (9.5–15.0)
  n1,921,000985,000572,000339,000496,000300,000645,000
 Hispanic
 Men
  % (95% CI)24.0 (19.8–28.1)22.1 (17.9–26.2)13.2 (10.8–15.6)10.6 (8.1–13.0)11.4 (9.9–12.9)6.2 (4.6–7.9)12.6 (9.4–15.7)
  n1,303,0001,200,000718,000574,000619,000339,000683,000
 Women
  % (95% CI)59.4 (54.3–64.4)14.5 (11.5–17.5)7.5 (5.4–9.6)4.5 (2.6–6.4)4.9 (3.4–6.5)3.0 (2.0–3.9)6.3 (4.7–7.9)
  n3,293,000803,000418,000248,000273,000164,000347,000
 Others
 Men
  % (95% CI)20.8 (10.8–30.7)27.1 (18.0–36.3)11.6 (4.9–18.2)7.2 (0.6–13.8)11.5 (4.5–18.6)12.3 (5.9–18.8)9.4 (3.0–15.8)
  n555,000726,000310,000193,000309,000330,000251,000
 Women
  % (95% CI)59.8 (50.2–69.3)18.6 (10.8–26.5)4.4 (0–8.7)1.7 (0–3.5)6.4 (2.1–10.7)2.4 (0.4–4.5)6.7 (2.3–11.0)
  n1,757,000548,000128,00049,000188,00071,000195,000

ASCVD indicates atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; and CVD, cardiovascular disease.

  • Data derived by applying the Pooled Cohort Equations to the National Health and Nutrition Examinations Surveys, 2007–2010 (N=5,367, weighted to 100,542,000 U.S. population).